The New Orleans Saints (2-1) are set to host the Dallas Cowboys (3-0) on Sunday Night Football in Week 4 NFL action. Kickoff is set for 8:20 EST at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome and will be televised nationally on NBC.
Oddsmakers opened this game up at Dallas -3 but it’s dropped down to the Cowboys -2.5 at just about every book. The total opened at 45.5 and has jumped up to 47 across the board.
Sep 28, 2019 The New Orleans Saints have a huge game ahead, with the Dallas Cowboys visiting for Sunday Night Football. Here's our bold predictions. NFL Week 4: 7 bold predictions in New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys.
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Saints are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 vs. Saints are 41-17-1 ATS vs. A team with a winning record. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after. Saints prediction. So, what are the NFL picks? Well, in my opinion without Brees, last weekend was the exception to the rule. Alvin Kamara records over 150 yards of total offense. If the Dallas Cowboys want to. This Sunday night matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints was one of the 2019 games circled on most calendars. The lookahead “Games of the Year” odds had New Orleans as a 4.5.
There were probably a lot of people scratching their heads when they saw the Cowboys only leading the Dolphins 10-6 at the half last week. Dallas not only woke up in the 2nd half, they went on to win 31-6 and cover as a 22.5-point favorite.
You can say what you want about the easy schedule the Cowboys have had to start out the season, the bottom line is they are 3-0 and have won all 3 by double-digits.
Dallas has really looked good on the offensive side of the ball. The Cowboys rank 3rd in rushing (179 ypg) and 7th in passing (306.7 ypg). That has them No.3 overall at 481.3 ypg.
The Saints come into this one off a surprising 33-27 win at Seattle in their first game without future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees. It wasn’t as close as the final score would indicate. New Orleans led 27-7 at the end of the 3rd quarter and had a 33-14 lead with less than 5 minutes to play in the 4th quarter.
Teddy Bridgewater didn’t put up Brees like numbers, but did throw for two touchdowns. The real star offensively was running back Alvin Kamara, who had 69 yards and a touchdown on the ground, while also catching a team high 9 passes for 92 yards and a score.
These two teams played in Week 13 last year in a surprisingly low-scoring game. Dallas won 13-10 and in the process held Drew Brees and the Saints to a mere 176 total yards. Cowboys easily covered in that one as a 7.5-point dog.
My early lean here would be play the Cowboys here at less than a field goal favorite at New Orleans. I know this is a prime time game and the Superdome is going to be wild, but I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with Dallas.
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I get the Saints rolled last week at Seattle, but the Seahawks don’t look right. I get a lot of the yards Seattle racked up came late with the game out of reach, but you can’t ignore the fact that the Seahawks outgained New Orleans 515 to 265.
What really decided that game was the fact that the Saints scored 2 non-offensive touchdowns. They got a 53-yard punt return for a TD in the 1st quarter and a 33-yard fumble return in the 2nd quarter. Teddy Bridgewater threw 2 touchdowns, but was just 19 of 27 for 177 yards.
Keep in mind the offense was also awful after Brees went down in Week 2 against the Rams. New Orleans could only muster 3 field goals with Bridgewater running the show and he was just 17 of 30 for 165 yards. I don’t know how you can trust this offense at basically a pick’em against one of the better teams in the league.
On top of that, the Saints defense has not been good. New Orleans ranks 26th in the league against the run (134.7 ypg) and are 31st against the pass (319.0 ypg). Dallas has the 3rd ranked offense in the league right now, ranking 3rd in rushing (179 ypg) and 7th in passing (306.7 ypg).
You also have to factor in that these are two teams that a lot of people think will be a factor in the NFC playoffs. Given the chance that this game could potentially decide who gets a first round bye or home field in a playoff matchup, I just don’t see the Cowboys losing here. Give me Dallas -2.5!
The Dallas Cowboys(3-0) visit the New Orleans Saints (2-1) at Mercedes-Benz Superdome Sunday of Week 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.
The Cowboys have won three straight games while covering the spread in each contest. Meanwhile, the Saints won a huge road test in Seattle last Sunday by a score of 33-27.
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Cowboys WR Michael Gallup(knee) is out again for Week 4 but Amari Cooper is 100%. WR Tavon Austin is also fully ready to go.
As for the Saints, Bridgewater will have OL Terron Armstead blocking for him as he is off the injury report. QB Drew Brees is expected to miss at least another 5-7 weeks (thumb).
NFL odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Saints 31, Cowboys 27
The Saints get the edge at home against a Cowboys team playing a team with a winning record coming off a big win. The +125 odds for the Saints to win outright, however, is intriguing with a $10 wager returning a profit of $12.50.
The +2.5 is a solid number to get behind with the Saints. Get the Saints at +2.5 with +100 odds returning a profit of $10 on a $10 wager even if they lose by as many as two points.
Over/Under (?)
Lean slightly to the OVER 46.5 (-121). Make it a small-unit play regardless of the projected score. This comes down to pace early. If the Saints can get Alvin Kamara in open space early, the over hits with ease.
Chris’s NFL betting record: 8-6
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