Manny Pacquiao (60-7-2, 39 KO) is back in Las Vegas and back on Pay Per View January 19th against Adrien Broner (33-3-1, 24 KO). Pacquiao will be defending his WBA Welterweight title and, as the champion, he’s getting the respect of bookmakers. Pacquiao vs Broner Odds. Manny Pacquiao vs. Adrien Broner: Fight prediction, odds, undercard, date, expert pick Adrien, Bron, Manny, Pacquiao, vs. In terms of fun style matchups, Manny Pacquiao taking on Adrien Broner on Showtime PPV on Saturday night in Las Vegas is about as good as it gets.
It's all but certain fight legend Manny Pacquiao will face former multi-division champ Adrien Broner on January 12th.
“It is almost final but it is not yet there,” Manny told the media, adding that the possibility of Pacquiao vs Broner was '90 percent.'
Of course this fight is supposed to be a warm-up for the big enchilada, the rematch between Pacquiao and Floyd Mayweather.
Do you like the youth and brashness of the 29 year old Broner or the experience and footwork of Pacquiao who will be 40 when he next steps in the ring?
Although early Pacquiao vs Broner odds haven't been released, expect PacMan to be a solid favorite when they are. Even coming off the controversial loss to Jeff Horn (when Manny didn't look good) the latter still opened as a slight favorite over Lucas Matthysse who he dominated and KO'd in July.
And while Broner is younger than Matthysse and naturally bigger as a welterweight, he'll be an even bigger underdog because Manny has looked solid in 3 of his last 4 bouts, and was dynamic in his most recent scrap.
Broner, on the other hand, hasn't looked bad lately. However, as a welterweight, Adrien has fought more like a No. 10, 11 or 12th ranked fighter than an elite-level powerbroker. And, unlike Matthysse, Adrien hasn't demonstrated the level of punching power lately to make him an imminent threat.
BoxRec currently ranks Broner as its No. 8 welterweight while Terence Crawford is No.1, PacMan is No. 2 and Errol Spence sits at No. 3.
Pacquiao vs Broner odds
We expected Manny to be a strong but not overwhelming favorite and that's exactly what we are seeing. As of November 3 and per betfair and Paddy Power, Pacquiao is a 4/9 favorite while Broner is a respectable 7/4 underdog. The odds of a draw are 20/1.
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Manny Pacquiao: Rough odds for last 15 fights
Matthysse -205
Jeff Horn -600
Jessie Vargas -900
Timothy Bradley -245
Floyd Mayweather Jr. +160
Chris Algieri -700
Timothy Bradley -280
Brandon Rios -550
Juan Manuel Marquez -1100
Timothy Bradley -450
Shane Mosley -850
Antonio Margarito -450
Joshua Clottey -600
Miguel Cotto -270
Ricky Hatton -225
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Even if Manny doesn't knockout Broner, the Cincinnati fighter will presumably have difficulty outpointing PacMan, a fighter with greater punch volume, better combinations and superior footwork.
At welterweight, Broner hasn't been active enough offensively to be a threat to win on points. When stung or running low on gas, Broner takes long respites in offense, as was the case against Jessie Vargas in April. Broner fell well behind early and was forced to carry nearly every round from 7 on to earn a draw.
And while he should be credited to a degree because he's never been stopped inside the distance, we've seen Broner transform into a defensive shell when he's presumably focused more on staying upright than unleashing any weaponry of his own. Such was the case in his bouts with Mikey Garcia and Shawn Porter.
Broner will likely need a knockout to win yet he's recorded just 2 in his last 9 fights. Couple that with the fact that Pacquiao has a solid chin and is extremely difficult to hit cleanly and it's easy making Manny Pacquiao a -900 favorite over Broner.
My Pick: Pacquiao by UD
Manny might score a knockdown or two but the resilient and athletic Broner will find a way to hold on until the final bell.
Manny Pacquiao vs Adrien Broner Preview Jan. 19th
WBA Welterweight Champion Manny Pacquiao of the Philippines will be taking on Adrien Broner of Cincinnati, Ohio at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada this Saturday, January 19th. The 12-round bout will be shown live on Showtime pay-per-view in America while fans in the UK can see it live on free tv on ITV 4. Pacquiao won the title with a seventh-round TKO over Lucas Matthysse last July while Broner’s last outing resulted in a 12-round majority draw with Jessie Vargas in April.
Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).
Ring legend Pacquiao is now 40 years old and will climb through the ring ropes with a record of 60-7-2 with 39 Kos. He’s still an excellent boxer with fine skills and speed, but Pacquiao’s power hasn’t been evident for quite some time even with the stoppage of Matthysse. His last KO victory before that was eight years earlier when he stopped Miguel Cotto of Puerto Rico in the 12th round back in 2009. Still, his knockout ratio currently stands at a decent 57 per cent, but he can’t really depend on his power to be the difference maker anymore.
Pacquiao’s chin has held up well since Juan Manuel Marquez landed the perfect punch on him in the sixth round back in December of 2012, but he’s been stopped in three of his seven career losses. Since he’s been on the canvas a few times during his career he needs to keep his focus at all times and make sure he doesn’t leave himself wide open for a Broner power shot. His key to winning this fight will be his speed and chin as he’ll need to strike quickly and move out of range.
Pacquiao stands just over 5-feet-5-inches tall and owns a 67-inch reach. He’s boxed 462 rounds since he turned pro back in 1995. He has tons of big-fight experience against the best in the world after winning world titles in eight weight classes. Pacquiao has simply faced all the top boxers of his era and has lost just seven times. Like himself, a good number of his past opponents will be ending up in the hall of fame and this is what makes him a boxing legend. He’s fleet of foot with great hand speed and controls most fights with his right jab, stinging left hand and lightning-quick combinations.
The 29-year-old Broner is a former four-division world champion at junior lightweight, lightweight, junior welterweight and welterweight. He’ll climb through the ropes with a record of 33-3-1 along with 24 Kos. Broner suffered his three defeats at the hands of Mikey Garcia in 2017, Marcos Maidana of Argentina in 2013 and fellow American Shawn Porter back in June of 2015, who all beat him by 12-round unanimous decisions in the welterweight division.
Broner possesses enough talent to be an elite boxer, but his maturity level, attitude and work habits could all do with a lot of improvement. He keeps promising fans he’s changed, but they’ll have to wait until Saturday night to judge for themselves. Broner stands just over 5-feet-6-inches tall with a 69-inch reach and possesses excellent speed and good power under as well as plenty of pro experience. He’s fought 223 rounds since turning pro in 2008 and has a current knockout ratio of 63 per cent.
Broner’s beaten some good opponents over the years such as Daniel Ponce De Leon, Jason Litzau, Eloy Perez, Vicente Escobedo, Antonio DeMarco, Gavin Rees, Paulie Malignaggi, Carlos Molina, John Molina Jr., Emmanuel Taylor and Khabib Allakhverdiev. He may have plenty of problems outside of the ring due to his idiotic actions, but he’s still one of the best boxers inside the squared circle at the moment and can’t be taken lightly by Pacquiao.
The difference here could come down to work ethic and heart and this is usually where Broner lets himself and his fans down. Broner’s career seems to be on the downswing, but a win here would put him back in the picture. Pacquiao is the more naturally-talented boxer, but that doesn’t guarantee anything as we saw in his loss against Jeff Horn in 2016. He’ll need to work hard for all 12 rounds with speed and movement and make sure he doesn’t get tagged directly on the chin. Pacquiao needs to get out of the gate early and establish his power and rhythm by letting his hands go as often as possible to keep Broner on the back foot. Don’t be surprised by any outcome here, but the most likely scenarios appear to be a Pacquiao decision or a Broner stoppage. I think Pacquiao’s style should be good enough to take a decision as long as his chin holds out.
This is a 50/50 fight, but it’s hard to go against a legend like Pacquiao.
Play: Pacquiao -287 @ BetOnline.ag
Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.
Adrien Broner betting • Manny Pacquiao betting